Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.003196 0.003503 0.003831 0.004207 0.004628 0.005086 0.005621
2026-01-04 0.002696 0.003132 0.003629 0.004242 0.004982 0.005851 0.006956
2026-01-11 0.002362 0.002849 0.003433 0.004187 0.005147 0.006337 0.007945
2026-01-18 0.002127 0.002645 0.003286 0.004149 0.005295 0.006782 0.008893
2026-01-25 0.001937 0.002469 0.003149 0.004095 0.005396 0.007154 0.009763
2026-02-01 0.001806 0.002354 0.003074 0.004106 0.005573 0.007631 0.010813
2026-02-08 0.001673 0.002224 0.002965 0.004053 0.005649 0.007961 0.011674
2026-02-15 0.001550 0.002096 0.002846 0.003974 0.005672 0.008206 0.012420
2026-02-22 0.001473 0.002026 0.002800 0.003994 0.005839 0.008677 0.013565
2026-03-01 0.001428 0.001997 0.002810 0.004093 0.006132 0.009365 0.015140
2026-03-08 0.001343 0.001904 0.002719 0.004030 0.006159 0.009625 0.016008
2026-03-15 0.001264 0.001813 0.002626 0.003955 0.006160 0.009835 0.016805
2026-03-22 0.001196 0.001739 0.002555 0.003918 0.006231 0.010191 0.017950
2026-03-29 0.001148 0.001694 0.002528 0.003950 0.006424 0.010782 0.019629
2026-04-05 0.001087 0.001623 0.002456 0.003900 0.006466 0.011104 0.020819
2026-04-12 0.001034 0.001563 0.002396 0.003865 0.006532 0.011473 0.022150
2026-04-19 0.000983 0.001501 0.002330 0.003815 0.006564 0.011777 0.023383
2026-04-26 0.000947 0.001463 0.002300 0.003825 0.006707 0.012309 0.025187
2026-05-03 0.000903 0.001409 0.002240 0.003777 0.006734 0.012613 0.026516
2026-05-10 0.000858 0.001351 0.002169 0.003703 0.006706 0.012796 0.027588
2026-05-17 0.000832 0.001323 0.002149 0.003722 0.006859 0.013377 0.029707
2026-05-24 0.000819 0.001317 0.002167 0.003814 0.007169 0.014326 0.032901
2026-05-31 0.000784 0.001270 0.002109 0.003755 0.007163 0.014574 0.034320